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When School Violence Is Stopped Before It Starts: What Threat Prevention Really Requires

When School Violence Is Stopped Before It Starts: What Threat Prevention Really Requires

Kelly Moore
December 22, 2025

In late November, a planned act of school violence was uncovered before it could occur. Two students were charged after evidence surfaced that they were coordinating an attack scheduled for the first day back after a holiday break. The incident never happened, but the details behind how it was discovered reveal critical lessons about school safety, threat assessment, and the limits of technology alone.

Why Timing Matters After School Breaks

Incidents of school violence are statistically more likely to occur shortly after extended breaks such as Thanksgiving, winter holidays, or spring break. These transitions create emotional, social, and environmental stressors that can elevate risk. In this case, the planned date aligned precisely with that vulnerable window, reinforcing the need for heightened vigilance during reentry periods.

Preparedness isn’t about fear; it’s about understanding patterns and responding before intent becomes action.

Leakage: The Most Overlooked Warning Sign

One of the most important indicators in threat prevention is something called leakage, when an individual reveals violent intent through words, behavior, or online activity. In this case, warning signs included private messages telling others not to come to school, along with social media activity displaying weapons and prior threatening behavior.

Leakage happens when intent can no longer be contained. It’s rarely subtle in hindsight, but it is often minimized in real time. Missing leakage is one of the most common failures in prevention.

Threats vs. Crimes: A Critical Disconnect

Not every threat meets the legal threshold for arrest. Law enforcement evaluates criminality; schools must evaluate risk. These are not the same thing.

A student may make alarming statements or exhibit dangerous behaviors that don’t qualify as a prosecutable offense, yet still represent a serious threat to a school community. When those signals aren’t shared, contextualized, and monitored collaboratively, opportunities for early intervention are lost.

Effective prevention requires communication between schools, families, and law enforcement, especially when concerning behavior occurs outside school hours or off campus.

Prevention Is a Process, Not a Moment

Stopping an incident doesn’t end the work. Once a threat is identified:

  • Schools must consider whether others were involved
  • Staff and students may need support after learning what was narrowly avoided
  • Ongoing monitoring is necessary to ensure the threat does not resurface

Threat assessment is not a checklist, it’s a continuous process that requires follow-through well beyond the initial discovery.

Technology Can’t Replace Understanding

Modern safety technology plays a powerful role in response, but it cannot replace foundational knowledge. Tools like panic buttons, alerts, and digital command centers are only effective if staff already understand:

  • What actions to take
  • How procedures work
  • Why those procedures matter

Technology should accelerate well-designed processes, not compensate for missing ones. Without training and clarity, even the best tools create confusion instead of confidence.

The Reality of School Violence Risk

Despite public perception, school violence remains statistically rare. But its impact is catastrophic, which is why preparation matters. The goal isn’t to assume every school will face an attack, it’s to ensure that warning signs are recognized, reported, and acted upon before harm occurs.

In this case, someone saw something, said something, and the system worked. That outcome should be the standard, not the exception.

The Takeaway

Prevention happens long before an emergency button is pressed. It lives in awareness, communication, threat assessment, and the willingness to take concerning behavior seriously, especially when it’s inconvenient or ambiguous.

Stopping violence before it starts isn’t about having a single solution. It’s about building a culture that understands risk, recognizes warning signs, and responds decisively, together.

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